Contagion of the Banking Crisis
Are central banks panicking? The Fed's surprise intervention to try to stop the contagion linked to the SVB bankruptcy was not enough to stop the global run on bank deposits.
Read articleAre central banks panicking? The Fed's surprise intervention to try to stop the contagion linked to the SVB bankruptcy was not enough to stop the global run on bank deposits.
Read articleThe failure of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), the 16th largest US bank by assets, has put the financial markets under pressure. Beyond the systemic risk to the US tech ecosystem, the bank run phenomenon could spread to the entire banking sector.
Read articleRates have gone from 0% to 5% in a few months! This new rise in rates is putting pressure on the price of gold. The yellow metal is holding above $1,800, en route to its support just below that level.
Read articleFor the time being, although the U.S. economic numbers are not impressive, they do show some resilience, especially on the consumer side. Unfortunately, the situation in Europe is quite different. The geopolitical event of the week is China's dramatic shift in rhetoric toward the United States.
Read articleGold is still very high relative to rates, probably because of the US fiscal risk and new inflationary expectations. This strength is also explained by the worsening geopolitical context and the stalemate in the Ukraine. Any threat of new sanctions now acts as a support for the price of gold.
Read articleSavers are not the only ones who have become poorer in the last two decades. Companies have also experienced a shortfall compared to the gold prices rise. If these companies had invested even a small part of their cash flow in gold, it would have greatly improved their financial situation...
Read articleWe are experiencing a 2008 crisis in reverse. In 2008, the risk came from the banks and spread to households and businesses. The government intervened to restore the stability of the entire system. Today, the risk comes from the State. It is the government that has to ensure the survival of busin...
Read articleRegardless of the extent of the economic slowdown, and the extent of future demand, metal supply is being revised downwards in most markets. Forecasts for 2023 suggest that inventory levels will not follow the usual intrinsic demand cycle. Indeed, we are already seeing real "runs" in some markets...
Read articleDespite the positive effect of inflation on these payroll tax receipts, the amount the government has to pay to pay down its debts and for its public spending programs is far too high for these inflationary revenue increases to affect the overall figure: the United States is in a budgetary bind.
Read articleIn a recent interview, Nouriel Roubini discussed the ten "mega-threats" facing the world: war, public and private debt crises, and the demographic bomb... all of which will cause investors to rush towards gold, leading to an increase in the metal's price to $3,000 by 2028. The famous economist pr...
Read articleA better-than-expected job market, a receding Fed pivot: all indications are that the U.S. real estate crisis is likely to be long-lasting. If real estate is no longer a safe haven, it is logical that gold will once again become the preferred tangible asset for investors.
Read articleHow international investors anticipate the value of the greenback is now fundamental to gold's future. There are powerful forces currently vying for the determination of the dollar's value. There are both bullish and bearish forces.
Read articleAs we close out the year 2022, it must be admitted that the performance of gold and silver prices in 2022 has surprised many analysts. The performance of precious metals is all the more remarkable in the face of sharp declines in equity and bond markets. Gold is outperforming the indices by more...
Read articleThe announcement of Elon Musk's acquisition of a silver mine would propel silver prices higher, with the same force as lithium recently.
Read articleChina is advancing its pawns in the Middle East and placing gold at the heart of its strategy of internationalization of the yuan. The world's second power is calling for the use of the renminbi instead of the dollar in the settlement of oil and gas transactions.
Read articleFor readers who have chosen physical gold as insurance against future monetary turmoil, these two crises (cryptocurrency and U.S. real estate investment trust crises) are a serious warning. As the year comes to a close, it is imperative that we ask ourselves questions about our confidence in the...
Read articleEnergy costs are not falling enough to bring the inflation figure down significantly. The strength of gold is undoubtedly due to the mix of risk situations that have fueled the year 2022 and that will not be resolved without painfully impacting currency prices.
Read articleChina is continuing its de-dollarization process, while at the same time trying to secure supplies of the raw materials. This is contributing to the pressure on metal stocks. Demand for physical silver is expected to increase by +16% over last year. Mine production is not sufficient to meet such...
Read articleThe current crisis in the cryptocurrency market is a reminder of how important it is to know the product and the counterparty of the product you are investing in, and this also applies to holders of physical gold.
Read articleThe news is marked by the crisis of confidence in the entire cryptocurrency sector after the spectacular fall of the FTX exchange platform. The reaction of the markets to the consequences of the crypto crash may therefore prove difficult to read. The other event of the week was the release of the...
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